Michigan National Championship Preview and Betting Odds
Third-seed Michigan may be the biggest underdog in the national championship game since 2010, but the Wolverines have made a habit out of overcoming adversity and higher ranked opponents all season long.
Now, with their tallest task of the season in front of them, let’s take an in-depth look at the Big Ten conference tournament champions in an effort to determine whether they’re going to be worthy of a wager to either cover the chalk as decisive underdogs or upset top-seeded Villanova outright! So let’s review Michigan’s betting odds and more.
40 MINUTES TO GLORY.
LET’S GO GET IT.
— Michigan Men’s Basketball (@umichbball) April 2, 2018
What: #3 Michigan Wolverines Vs. #1 Villanova Wildcats
When: Monday, April 2, 2018, at 9:02 P.M. ET
Where: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Stream: March Madness
The Line: Villanova -6½ -110 | -330 | U 144½ -110
Michigan played third fiddle in the Big Ten all season long to top five teams Michigan State and Purdue after being picked to finish fifth in the conference by several experts and publications in the preseason. The Wolverines struggled out of the gate by losing their fourth game of the season against LSU and then they lost to North Carolina in their eighth game to fall to 6-2. After splitting their next two games while losing to Ohio State to fall to an uninspiring 7-3 on the season, the Wolverines then won seven in a row to improve to 14-3 before they lost at home against Purdue to move to 14-4 on the season.
Michigan then went an uninspiring 3-2 over their next five games to ‘improve’ to 17-6 on the year. A dismal 61-52 road loss at Northwestern left the Wolverines sitting at 17-7 and searching for answers. However, that defeat would also mark the last time the Wolverines would lose to anyone as they won five straight to close out the regular season and then took the conference championship tournament by winning four straight including consecutive wins over Michigan State in the semifinal round and Purdue to claim the Big Ten tournament.
Michigan then kicked off their NCAA Tournament by shutting down overmatched Montana 61-47 in their March Madness opener before pulling off a miraculous win to beat Houston 64-63 in the second round. The Wolverines then blew Texas A&M off the court in their 99-72 win in the Sweet 16 before squeaking past Florida State 58-54 in the Elite Eight. Last but not least, the Wolverines dispatched Cinderella Loyola-Chicago 69-57 in their Final Four matchup on Saturday night.
Now, as they get set for their national championship showdown the Wolverines have won 14 straight games. Michigan averages a modest 73.9 points per game but shoots the ball well by making a solid 46.8 percent of their shot attempts (63rd) and 36.2 percent from three-point distance (105th). The Wolverines have just three double-digit scorers in Moritz Wagner (14.6 ppg), Charles Matthews (13.1 ppg) and Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman (12.6 ppg), but three other players contribute between 6.2 and 9.5 points per game.
Michigan is outstanding defensively as they limit the opposition to just 62.9 points per game to rank eighth nationally in points allowed. The Wolverines also held the opposition to just 42.5 percent shooting from the field (84th) and 32.7 percent from three-point distance (51st).
Here is a look at the Wolverines’ key ATS Trends this season.
Wolverines are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Wolverines are 14-3-2 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Wolverines are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games.
Wolverines are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
Wolverines are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Wolverines are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
Wolverines are 36-17-4 ATS in their last 57 neutral site games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
And here is a look at Michigan’s key Over/Under Trends.
Under is 3-0-1 in Wolverines last 4 games following an ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 5-1-1 in Wolverines last 7 NCAA Tournament games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wolverines last 6 overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wolverines last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Wolverines last 5 Monday games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wolverines last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wolverines last 6 neutral site games.