FIFA World Cup: Germany Vs Sweden Betting Analysis & Prediction
Even though each team has 3 games in the group stage, only about 12% of the teams who lose the opening game have been able to bounce back and move on to the knockout stage. It’s not all total doom and gloom, though, as you only need to go back to the 2010 FIFA World Cup to see that losing your opening game need not be a death penalty. Back then, Spain lost their first game of the tournament before going on to become World Champions for the FIFA World Cup. That is good news for Germany, who will be looking to rebound after deservedly losing to a strong Mexico team. They are now potentially in a life or death situation, as they have their next game against Sweden, another team with 3 points in the bank after winning their opening game against South Korea. If this one ends in a draw, we start to get into all kinds of different wild permutations, with goal difference potentially becoming a distinct possibility in determining who gets second, as we all think that Mexico will be moving on with a win over South Korea.
Post-Zlatan, #SWE‘s focus is on the collective, but one player stands out:
— FIFA World Cup 🏆 (@FIFAWorldCup) June 22, 2018
⚽: Germany Vs Sweden (Group Stage, Group F, Matchday 2 of 3)
🏟️: Fisht Stadium
⏰: Saturday, June 23 at 2 PM EST
🎰: Germany -1 -120 | -196 | U 2½ -105
Why bet on Germany
While Germany will look at what Spain did in 2010 and use that as inspiration, they also need to remember that the defending champion has gone out in the group stage in 3 of the last 4 World Cups. This is a team that is far too talented to fail, yet here they are now in a situation where they need to get something out of this game. Their performance in the loss to Mexico was surprising in that they showed a real lack of urgency, even with time running out and a loss beginning to look very real. The Germans never created any meaningful chances, and they always looked vulnerable to the speedy counterattack. That is what they are likely going to face against the Swedes, as I think the Scandinavian side are going to park the bus to try and frustrate the champs. Germany need more for their playmakers like Kroos and Ozil if they are to break down a tough defense.
Why bet on Sweden
While Mexico may have created the plan on how to beat Germany, it’s more than fair to suggest that Sweden don’t have the players to recreate it. The Mexicans relied heavily on a speedy counterattack, and they have the men in attack who can finish those chances. Sweden do not have that speed, and they most certainly do not have the finishing power of Mexico. Yes, they got the 1-0 win over South Kores in their opening game, but the lone goal came from the penalty spot. Sweden have now gone more than 7 hours without scoring a goal in open play, which makes you wonder how they are going to do enough to beat Germany. It is also worth noting that the Germans have won 7 and drawn 4 of their last 11 meetings with the Swedes.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
The good news for Germany is that they probably can’t play any worse than they did in their loss to Mexico. I look for them to come out and play a little quicker in the attack as they roll to a win.
Predicted Score: Germany 2 Sweden 0